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Archive for the ‘Houston Voter Turnout’ Category

On the last Thursday of Early Voting in Person in Harris County in 2008, 77,139 showed up.  Yesterday 64,315 showed up.  With one day left, we’re at 90.5% of the 2008 total.  With one day left in 2008, we were at 591,027.  With one day left today, we’re at 614,131.

We’re likely to top 2008 Early Voting in Person but not by much.

64,024 mail ballots have been returned with 28,167 still out there.

Since the beginning in 1962, the ‘Stros have won 3,999 games.  Name the team that we have beaten the most?

A former employee dropped by yesterday.  Cristina Garcia swung by yesterday and of course is a very long way from needing touching up.  She has two kids now and works for AT&T.  It was great to see her.

I got my 2012 Roundtable Presidential Pool that I have to fill out before 7 pm tonight.

Earlier this week I got an El Franco Lee mailer and yesterday I got an anti bonds mailer.

From the please don’t lecture me on the moral high ground department:  A couple of more local GOP candidates got campaign contributions from the strip club industry.

The ‘Stros have beat the Reds 399 times of course.

The ‘Stros will unveil their new look this evening – yawn!

 

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On the last Wednesday of Early Voting in Person in Harris County in 2008, 70,621 showed up.  Yesterday 58,467 showed up.  With two days left, we’re at 81% of the 2008 total.  With two days left in 2008, we were at 513,888.  With two days left today, we’re at 549,816.  It doesn’t make sense to me!

This is from Channel 11’s Doug Miller’s story on a poll taken in Harris County:

The poll shows the president leading in Harris County with the support of 46 percent of surveyed voters, compared to Romney’s 42 percent.  Libertarian Gary Johnson cracked the survey with 2 percent.

In the U.S. Senate race, Democrat Paul Sadler’s 44 percent leads Republican Ted Cruz with 42 percent in Harris County.  With a 3.5 percent margin of error, that’s a statistical dead heat in the largest county in Texas.

And:

Republican crossover voters are helping push Democratic Sheriff Adrian Garcia to 51 percent in this survey, compared to Republican challenger Louis Guthrie’s 32 percent.  Another 13 percent were undecided.

On the other hand, many Democrats told pollsters they’re voting for Republican district attorney candidate Mike Anderson, who’s polling at 41 percent.  Nonetheless, Democrat Lloyd Oliver is close behind with 35 percent.  Another 19 percent are undecided.   That number is especially striking because Democratic Party leaders were so embarrassed by Oliver’s candidacy they tried to remove him from the ballot.

Here is the entire story.

In 2008 in Harris County, 76,187 requested mail ballots and 67,612 (88.7%) were returned and counted. 

As of yesterday 91,529 mail ballots have been mailed and 61,972 have been returned.

Name the last team the ‘Stros played at the Astrodome?

Ken Hoffman devotes his column today to robo calls. 

Check it out here.

I went through three bags of candy last night.  A lot of my neighbors went dark.  Once again most of the kids that came to my door weren’t from the ‘hood.  Who cares?

On October 9, 1999, the ‘Stros got beat by The ATL 7-5 in Game 4 of the NLDS of course and that was the last MLB game played at the Dome.

It looks like the ‘Stros can’t keep anything secret.  It looks like Orbit will return.

 

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The Chron E-Board endorsed Ted Cruz today for U.S. Senator.  In their endorsement here is what they said about Paul Sadler:

There’s a lot we admire about Sadler, particularly his demonstrated ability to reach across the aisle and work productively with his political opponents for the good of Texas. But Sadler is practically poking at embers to keep his campaign from burning out altogether. Why? Because of a simple lack of interest and support from his own party. Sadler’s candidacy is well-meaning, but an exercise in futility.

Here is the entire endorsement editorial.

The Chron E-Board certainly makes the Lone Star State Dem Party look irrelevant.

The Yankees were swept by the Tigers yesterday.  When was the last time the Yankees were swept in post season play?

Speaking of, Newsweek will no longer be with us next year. 

Here is what the County put out yesterday evening:

As of this evening we have approved 80,311 applications and sent out 78,100 ballots.  We have received 34,104 voted ballots returned.

26,543 have been generated by the GOP and 21,843 by Dems.

It looks like Harris County is on track to outperform 20008 in mail ballot voting so stay tuned!

Early Voting in Person starts on Monday.  Are you ready?  In a few days we will be able to figure out what part of town owns the intensity card.

What’s up with A-Roid being benched?  If you are paying him a kazillion bucks, you have to play him.

It is the Friday before Early Voting in Person and the $1.5 million bond and METRO campaigns still haven’t sent me squat. I’ve heard the METRO ad on Sports 610 and it sounds kind of confusing.  I ran into an HCC bigwig last night and the bigwig isn’t happy with the HCC bond campaign.  Maybe they all think it is in the bag.

The Yankees were swept by the Royals three zip of course in the 1980 ALCS.

The new skipper was introduced to the local media yesterday.

 

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Of course we don’t really do that these days.  I’m talking about “pulling” the straight-ticket or as it is written on the sample ballot – straight party.  (Maybe it is time we change the terminology.)  You either mark it if you are voting by mail ballot or dial it if you are voting early in person or on E-Day.

In today’s hard copy of the Chron, in a front page column Patricia Kilday Hart warns Harris County Dems that if we dial or mark the single Dem button for all Dems, we’re including a vote for a t_rd – DA candidate Lloyd Oliver.  Hart also warns Harris County GOPers that a dial or mark of the single GOP button for all GOPers includes a vote for a tu_d – sheriff candidate Louis Guthrie.  What are we to do?

Hart makes an excellent case for a Dem not to vote for Oliver.  She also makes an excellent case for a GOPer not to vote for Guthrie.

Harris County Dems are distributing a piece that says “Vote the Straight Democratic Ticket” so that includes Oliver, even though our Dem Party leaders tried to get him kicked off of the ballot.  I haven’t seen what the local GOP is handing out.

Can we ask folks to vote the straight party ticket and turn around and not do it ourselves?

I can’t remember the last time I didn’t hit the Dem button. 

Here is how Hart ends her column:

“In our hyper-partisan world, it’s easy to award our votes to candidates strictly based on party affiliation.  This year in Harris County, that would amount to voter malpractice.”

Ouch!  What is one to do?  I’ll say this, I don’t think you can get sued, fined or hauled off to jail if you commit voter malpractice.  You may have to take a shower afterwards though.  Stay tuned!

Soon to be ‘Stro skipper Bo Porter wears the numero 16 for the Nats.  Who wears the numero 16 for the ‘Stros these days?

In 2008 in Harris County, 76,187 requested mail ballots and 67,612 (88.7%) were returned and counted.  In 2010 in Harris County, 69,991 requested mail ballots and 55,560 (79.4%) were returned and counted.

As of yesterday in Harris County, 55,152 have requested mail ballots with 23,082 generated by the GOP and 17,755 by Dems.

Don’t forget that the Texas Freedom Network will have a special screening of “The Revisionaries” on Friday, October 12 at the Sundance Theater in Downtown H-Town.  This is the documentary about our State Board of Education.

Get your tickets here.

The Leader has a piece about another development that will set up next to the Walmart down the street.  Welcome to the ‘hood Yale Street Market!  I don’t know about that!

“The Jim Rome Show” will be back in H-Town early next year.  On Wednesday, January 2, 2013, clones will be able to return to the jungle at 650 AM.   I look forward to hearing what Jim has been up to lately.

‘Stros infielder Matt Downs of course currently wears the numero 16.  The ‘Stros get the opportunity to derail the Brewers’ playoff chances this weekend up in the battleground state of Wisconsin.

 

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A few months ago Hector mentioned to me that there were around 360,000 Latinos registered to vote in Harris County and that 57% of the 360,000 lived at around the beltway and beyond.  He also told me that only 16% of the 360,000 resided inside of the loop.  A lot of the Latino growth is in northwest Harris County and that’s why Cy-Fair ISD, the third largest school district in the state, has an over 40% Latino student population.  Lesson for local Dems:  If you want to turn Harris County blue, get out of your comfort zone and head northwest and engage Latino voters.    FYI:  SBOE District 6 candidate Traci Jensen (Commentary’s client) is running in a king size district that includes most of CY-Fair ISD and other areas with a lot of Latino voters.

On a related note, here is from today’s Politico:

Latino Decisions, the polling outfit that showed a jump in Latino enthusiasm for President Obama following last month’s policy shift on deportation, finds today that the president is winning 70 percent of the Latino vote in 2012.

The poll is sponsored by a pair of progressive groups and finds Obama leading Romney by an even wider margin than he beat John McCain in 2008:

“Latino Decisions released new national poll of Latino registered voters showing Barack Obama winning 70% of the Latino vote compared to 22% for Mitt Romney.  The poll, commissioned by the Center for American Progress Action Fund and America’s Voice,  illustrates an increase in support for President Obama, and comes after a month of outreach to Latino voters, starting with the June 15 Dream announcement, appearances by the President and Vice President at NALEO and NCLR conferences, and comments opposing Arizona’s SB1070 immigration law.  This poll marks the first time Obama has received 70% of the vote in Latino Decisions polling on the presidential election over the past 20 months.”

The final margin among Latinos in 2008 was a 36-point gap in Obama’s favor. Right now, he’s up by 48 points. Which gives you a sense of why Republican elites think it’s so urgent for Romney to make up ground with this bloc.

Today I would say that the polling numbers are about right even here in Harris County.  Of course the polling numbers don’t mean squat if we’re not engaging the Latino voters.

A rarity in MLB these days is stealing home.  Name the player with record for career steals of home?

From yesterday’s Chron.com, a Joe Holley Moment:

U.S. Senate candidate David Dewhurst probably didn’t need a press release to communicate his nose-thumbing disdain for President Obama’s visit to Austin and San Antonio this week, but a press release we got nonetheless.

“President Obama is using Texas as an ATM, the same way he’s using taxpayers’ hard-earned dollars to spend our country into oblivion,” the lieutenant governor proclaims, before delivering himself of a jeremiad worthy of talk-show ranter Michael Savage. His upstart rival, former Texas solicitor general Ted Cruz, routinely describes the president as “the most radical president in American history,” but Dewhurst ramps up the screed. “President Obama,” he asserts, “is the most serious threat to America since World War II.” (Worse, apparently, than Cold War nuclear threats, Al Quaeda attacks, the hearbreak of psoriasis)

Our national fate, Dewhurst warns, is a dismal Obama-led Continental tour: “Through his disastrous and reckless policies like Obamacare, it seems Obama is trying to mirror America in the image of Europe. If we do not change the path we’re on, Obama will kill our economy, spend America into bankruptcy and relegate us to a failed future.”

The relatively low-key lieutenant governor, who has fallen behind the energetic and hyper-articulate Cruz in recent polls, calls for “a complete transformation of how our government works” and “leaders who will get government out of the way and allow the private sector to flourish.”

He’s waited 66 years for his Mr. Dewhurst-goes- to-Washington-moment, and now, even if he gets by the pesky Cruz, he may find the Capitol crumbled, thanks to “the most serious threat. . . ” Like Charlton Heston’s Statue of Liberty moment in “The Planet of the Apes,” all he’ll be able to do is shake his head at the folly of his fellow Americans, take one last look at the fallen dome and then trudge on back to Texas. It’s that bad, folks.

Or so says an over-heated candidate in the home stretch of a long, bitter race.

Also from Chron.com is Guv Dude’s Welcome to the Lone Star State letter to The President:

“Perhaps while the President is visiting Texas, he can take a break from big-dollar fundraisers to disavow his Attorney General’s offensive and incendiary comments regarding our common-sense voter identification law.

“In labeling the Texas voter ID law as a “poll tax,” Eric Holder purposefully used language designed to inflame passions and incite racial tension. It was not only inappropriate, but simply incorrect on its face.

“The president should apologize for Holder’s imprudent remarks and for his insulting lawsuit against the people of Texas.”

Every time The President visits the Lone Star State, GOP leaders go bonkers.  I love it!

Burkablog is sorta making a prediction in the GOP U.S. Senate race:

I believe this is going to be a very close race. The bigger the turnout, the better it is for Dewhurst. I think the breaking point is around 825,000. If the turnout is less, Cruz wins. If it’s more, Dewhurst wins.

Commentary isn’t going to say anything lincredibly silly about H-Town’s newest resident Jeremy Lin other than to ask if he is considering moving to Lindale – home to former Commissioner Sylvia Garcia, Sheriff Adrian Garcia, CM Ed Gonzalez, and HCC Trustee Yolanda Navarro Flores.

Hall of Fame great Ty Cobb of course stole home 54 times in his career.

I also said I wasn’t going to say anything about Jeremy Lin other than to ask if he can play shortstop because Jed Lowrie is out for 4-6 weeks and we now have 36 roadie losses – HELP!

 

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Here is from the Rice University website:

 Mark P. Jones, Ph.D., is the fellow in political science at the Baker Institute and the Joseph D. Jamail Chair in Latin American Studies at Rice University. He also currently serves as the chair of Rice’s Department of Political Science. His research focuses on the effect of electoral laws and other political institutions on governance, representation and voting.

 Dr. Jones had an Op-Ed in yesterday’s Chron on the Voter ID law and here is how it ended:

Upon reflection, SB 14 appears to have less to do with safeguarding elections and more to do with appeasing portions of the Republican party base and potentially, if the law is eventually enforced, reducing the vote share of Democratic Party candidates in many races across Texas by perhaps a few percentage points.

 Here is the entire Op-Ed.

  A good read, don’t you think?

 Thanks to my pal Robert Miller, Commentary had the honor of sitting with Dr. Jones on a panel on the 2012 elections a few months ago.  I think Dr. Jones is the one that came up with the terms “movement” and “establishment” conservatives. 

 Holy futility!  Sadly, the ‘Stros are on pace for another 100 plus loss season!  Name the last team to suffer back-to-back 100 plus loss seasons?

 Check out the Chron story by Chris Moran and Ericka Mellon this past weekend on bonds, bonds, everywhere here.

 Peggy Fikac has one of those “what if” columns today about the Lite Guv considering an option of resigning if he wins in 15 days.  That would let Lone Star State voters pick the next Lite Guv in November.  Check out Fikac’s column here.

 The Lite Guv’ s handlers say they haven’t even given that idea much thought.  They better not be if you know what I mean!

 Early Voting in person starts next week and it is kind of quiet in my ‘hood these days.

 The Nationals of course had back-to-back 100 plus loss seasons in 2008 (103) AND 2009 (102).

 There is already buzz about the ‘Stros Skipper being replaced after the season.  He’ll probably be a goner but he really wasn’t given the players to do a good job.  Two years ago we traded Roy O. and The Big Puma.  Last year we said adios to Michael Bourn, Jeff Keppinger, and Hunter Pence. Numero 45 was dealt away a couple of weeks ago.  Jason Castro and Jed Lowrie are now on the DL. 

 What do I know?  I know we’re a paltry 9-35 on the road with the next four in San Diego!

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Savannah Guthrie is the new co-host of “Today.”  I’m OK with this.  I would have preferred that Natalie Morales be given a shot but that’s the way it goes.  Savannah is a former NBC News White House correspondent so she definitely knows politics.  She also plays the guitar.  On her first morning today as co-host she was surprised when Shawn Colvin showed up and played a tune with Savannah – cool.   Good luck, Savannah!

The new Lone Star State Dem Party Chair gave an AP interview on the state of the Dem Party.  Here are parts:

Using rough numbers and optimistic assumptions, Texas Democratic Party Chairman Gilberto Hinojosa figures 70 percent of Texans should be inclined to vote for his party’s candidates.

He lists off the party’s traditional supporters and their percentage of the population: Hispanics are 40 percent, African Americans are 15 percent and progressive whites add at least another 15 percent.

The trouble, Hinojosa admits, is the majority of those people are not voting for anyone. As the new chair of a party that hasn’t won a statewide election since 1994, he also acknowledges it’s his job to get them to the polls.

"The numbers are out there," Hinojosa told The Associated Press. "The role of the Texas Democratic Party is to deliver the base."

And:

“We’re not going to win just by increasing one segment’s turnout," Hinojosa said, rejecting a popular belief among Democrats that Hispanics alone can return them to power.

And:

Looking back at (Bill) White’s 42 percent in 2010, Hinojosa said the party has a lot of work to do and set minimal expectations for this November. The party’s priorities will be turning out Democrats in the Houston and San Antonio areas to secure them as Democratic strongholds, and to ensure Davis’ re-election in Fort Worth, he said.

Here is the entire article.

That’s a lot of bold talk.  Let’s see if action follows the talk.

Who was the first ‘Stro to ever start in an MLB All Star Game?

There a battle of sorts going on in Pasadena. There is a vacancy on City Council and Latino leaders in Pasadena want a Latino appointed to fill the vacancy.

Here is from an online story:

“I am of the opinion I am not going to choose a person by the color of their skin. I’m going to consider an Asian, an African-American, Caucasian or a Hispanic. I disagree with the fact that the Hispanics come forward and say, ‘You’ve got to appoint a Hispanic for this seat and it’s got to be this Hispanic.’ I think that’s wrong. We just created four Hispanic districts in Pasadena through the last redistricting, so I am not going to choose a person by the color of their skin, period,” (Pasadena Mayor Johnny) Isbell said.

The City of Pasadena is 62% Latino but only 1 of the 8 city council members is Latino – my good pal Ornaldo Ybarra.  The Latino leadership in Pasadena is behind Richard Serna for the vacancy.  I hope they do the right thing over in Pasadena.    It looks like CM Ybarra has a real fight on his hands.

Check out the online story here.

Ernest Borgnine is one of my favorite actors of all time.  From “McHale’s Navy” to “From Here to Eternity” to “The Poseidon Adventure”, but my best ever Borgnine role has to be as Dutch Engstrom in Sam Peckinpah’s “The Wild Bunch” – one of the best westerns of all time.

Lee May of course started at first base for the NL All Stars in the 1972 All Star Game played in The ATL.  May went 1 for 4 with an RBI and played the entire game.

The ‘Stros are pretty miserable.  Of all their players only Jose Altuve has been to an All Star Game as a player – pitiful.  They still might trade Wandy and Brett Myers.   The lone surviving Caballito was there this weekend at his command post.  Folks were dropping by and taking pictures with him – cool.  Well, the team is off for four days then head off on a ten game roadie and will return to The Yard in two weeks. 

 

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