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Archive for September 20th, 2018

SD 19 Post Mortem

We are done with the Mariners this season. What was our record against them this season?

Commentary has said it before. It is going to take more than townhalls to defeat the H-Town Firefighters’ Prop B.

Check this tweet:

Bill King Retweeted

Jim Bigham‏@JimBigham 9h9 hours ago 

The pattern continues for the Rebuild and FF Town Hall meetings. Tonight about a dozen residents were in attendance in District J. The room filled with mostly city staff and consultants.

Let me say this. Special elections and general elections are two different animals. That being said, Dems can learn a thing or three from the SD 19 post mortems.

R.G. certainly let the Texas Democratic Party have it yesterday in his piece in Texas Monthly and here is how it starts:

The Texas Democratic Party ceased to exist as an effective political organization Tuesday as Republican Pete Flores defeated Democrat Pete Gallego in a special election runoff to replace convicted state Senator Carlos Uresti of San Antonio in Senate District 19. The upset gives Republican Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick a lock on the state Senate, meaning he can push any piece of legislation he wants through the body, legislation like the bathroom bill that he forced a special session over last year.

Here is the entire article: https://www.texasmonthly.com/podcast/texas-democratic-party-lost-ability-sell-brand/?utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Web%20Social&utm_content=texasdemocrats.

Did I say ouch!

And, from the Trib:

Republican Pete Flores defeated Democrat Pete Gallego on Tuesday in a state Senate district that Hillary Clinton won by 12 points, prompting Democratic soul-searching less than two months before the midterms.

And this:

Gallego’s campaign said that at the end of the day, it was not able motivate its voters as much as Flores did.

“Our investment was in the grassroots and trying to increase the number of Democratic voters in the densest precincts where people hadn’t turned out and trying to cut through the clutter of all the other campaigns going on targeting November … and it proved to be a lot more difficult to get people tuned in to the fact that an incredibly important race was happening today,” Gallego strategist Christian Archer said.

The relative enthusiasm for Flores was evident in the district’s biggest Republican counties — places like Medina County, where he routed Gallego with 80 percent of the vote. Flores’ margins in the red counties were more than enough to offset Gallego’s advantage in vote-rich Bexar County, which gave Gallego a modest 54 percent of the vote.

Flores’ campaign said it benefited from a number of factors throughout the race, starting with the deep Democratic divide that unfolded as Gallego battled state Rep. Roland Gutierrez, D-San Antonio, ahead of the eight-way July 31 special election. Gutierrez, who won Bexar County then, never endorsed Gallego in the runoff, and on Wednesday, the two sides had different accounts about how much of an effort, if any, Gallego made to court Gutierrez.

Here is all of the Trib piece: https://www.texastribune.org/2018/09/19/how-pete-flores-upset-democrat-win-texas-state-senate-seat/.

And from the Chron’s Erica Grieder, the end ofher column:

And Democrats who were demoralized by the defeat should take Flores’ victory as a wake-up call. I think we can all agree Texas Republicans aren’t exactly firing on all cylinders lately. I often have occasion to criticize them. But in this case, Republicans didn’t do anything wrong, politically or morally. Democrats can’t say the same.

The district favors Democrats, but Flores’ victory wasn’t an upset. Uresti’s misdeeds created an opportunity that Republicans were bound to capitalize on, and Democratic leaders were complacent about the risk that they would succeed. That attitude might not have guaranteed Gallego’s defeat—but it certainly wasn’t likely to result in a blue wave.

Here is all of the Grieder column: https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston-texas/houston/article/Texas-Democrats-should-be-demoralized-by-13242703.php.

There certainly is plenty of blame to go around. Bottom line: Dems didn’t have their act together and that’s a shame.

Texas Monthly has an article on the Texas Latino vote. Here is part of it:

“I don’t know that there’s much evidence that Hispanics are embracing progressivism, but are they clamoring for the hard right? Not necessarily,” said Matt Mackowiak, a Republican consultant who advised Flores in the San Antonio race, suggesting the Hispanic vote, like the group itself, is not as monolithic as it tends to be treated.

In other words, Texas Hispanics have a streak of conservatism that earlier this year prompted one national pollster in Washington to call Texas the Bible belt of Hispanics. Part of the Flores message in the San Antonio race was his pro-life position, a stance that Mackowiak believes resonates with Hispanic voters more than people realize.

BS, calls Democratic political consultant James Aldrete. Certainly there are conservative streaks in the Hispanic community, but a larger motivating factor for Hispanics on election day is one of showing respect over public policy issues—something that he believes O’Rourke has been effective at in his campaign because conveying respect more often requires face-to-face contact with voters. Aldrete points to another part of the Quinnipiac Poll as evidence. It shows immigration to be the number one issue among all respondents, including Hispanics. Abortion did not even measure as one of the top six issues of the poll.

Here is all of the article: https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/texas-hispanic-vote-no-guarantee-democrats-heres/.

Commentary thinks Dems will be Okay with the Latino vote. Latino voters certainly know what is at stake in November. Stay tuned!

The Chron Opinion page has two Op-Eds on straight ticket voting today. This will be the last election for straight ticket voting thanks to the GOP controlled legislature. Dems should thank the GOP by voting a farewell straight Dem ticket. This year it is more than well deserved.

Our record against the Mariners this season was 9-10 of course.

10 games remain, 4 game lead, magic number still at 7.

 

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