Archive for April 19th, 2018

51 to 33

The ‘Stros are the reigning World Series Champions and the Rockets have the number one seed in the NBA playoffs. When the Rockets won their first NBA title in 1994, how did the ‘Stros fare later that year?

A poll release yesterday created a bit of a buzz yesterday in Texas politics. Here is from R.G.:

The good news for U.S. Senator Ted Cruz in a just released Quinnipiac University poll is that Texans like him and believe he would be best able to handle issues such as the economy, taxes, and gun policy—plus more than half the state voters surveyed lack enough information to have an opinion about Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke. The bad news for Cruz: O’Rourke is in a statistical tie with Cruz in the election.

Much of the survey results are a reflection of the nation’s polarized politics at the moment. The survey found Cruz leading O’Rourke by 47 percent to 44 percent, a tie in a survey with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Although O’Rourke is not well known among the state’s voters, he begins the general election campaign sitting at the level of a generic Democrat.

As might be expected, the lion’s share of the Republican and Democratic voters surveyed support the candidate of their party. What should be troubling for Cruz is that more than half of the independent voters surveyed support O’Rourke—and more than half of the independents have an unfavorable view of Cruz. And most independents do not believe Cruz is honest.

Cruz holds a substantial lead among white voters and those over the age of 50. O’Rourke has a substantial lead among blacks and Hispanics and voters in the 18-to-34-year-old group. The two candidates are in another statistical tie among voters between the ages of 35 and 49.

Here is all of R.G.’s article: https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/beto-orourke-nipping-ted-cruz/.

Here is from the poll statement:

White voters back Cruz 59 – 34 percent, as O’Rourke leads 78 – 18 percent among black voters and 51 – 33 percent among Hispanic voters.

Then the Chron Editorial Page Editor tweeted this:

Evan 20XX‏ @evan7257 18h18 hours ago 

Evan 20XX Retweeted Kyle Griffin

The cross tabs on this do a good job of explaining why Texas Democrats can’t win an election

I guess maybe he is talking about the 51-33 lead among Latino voters. One would think that with the GOP’s war against Mexico and Latino immigrants that the spread would be bigger, right? And now the “breeding concept” racist sh_t. What do you do?

I’ve seen numbers like these before. They don’t play out on Election Day though. I am thinking a 3-1 Dem edge on Election Day. Still, the Democratic Party and the O’Rourke Campaign would be wise to get together with Latino political consultants with experience dealing with turning Latino voters out with success in other states.

We will see.

My MLB question wasn’t a trick question but the ‘Stros ended 1994 with a 66-49 record and a half game out in the NL Central in the strike shortened season of course.

We are now 12-7 and it looks like the bats may be waking up.


Read Full Post »