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Archive for November, 2016

Eyewitness News Wall

Channel 13 did a story on Donald Trump’s wall yesterday. Nothing really new was reported. On the Channel 13 website the usual Latino haters put out their mean comments. I wonder if this is a one or two time deal or is Channel 13 going to set up a wall beat reporter, you know, a ratings thing because everybody loves to debate the wall.   I wonder where the wall rates among the issues for H-Town area TV viewers?   I wonder if Channel 2, 11 and 26 and local Telemundo and Univision will be sending news crews down to the border and hand us another wall story.?  Here is how the Channel 13 news story begins:

LAREDO, TX (KTRK) — Late Tuesday afternoon, in the town of Rio Bravo, outside of Laredo, Eyewitness News photographer Noe Cumplido spotted four men just crossed the Rio Grand and were rolling their way into the United State to avoid detection by the Border Patrol, which was set up just two hundred yards away. Those men could be men looking for work, returning to their families, or they could be criminals. We have no way of knowing.

It is this activity upon which Donald Trump based much of his campaign. Promising to build a wall—to deport millions of illegal immigrants. But here in south Texas where the border is also a lifeline for migration and for trade, his campaign rhetoric does not sit well. “I have a number of clients who are worried about what their status is going to be once Trump takes office,” said Jose Salvador Telez, an attorney who works immigration. He’s also with the League of United Latin American Citizens, Council 12, in Laredo. “He proposed a border wall. The fact of the matter is there is a border wall already from California to New Mexico almost.” Ed Bueno is also a board member of LULAC Council 12. He believes Trump’s rhetoric is misguided. He cites the President-elect’s criticism of the North American Free Trade Agreement as one example.

Here is the entire Channel 13 story on the wall: http://abc13.com/politics/in-laredo-giant-wall-not-wanted/1608829/.

Alex Cora is the new bench coach for the ‘Stros. In 1996, Cora was selected in the 3rd round by the Dodgers in the MLB Amateur Player Draft. Who did the A’s select in the 3rd round that same draft?

Remember when City IDs were an issue during last year’s city elections here in H-Town?   Commentary opposed the idea and I said so and why. My concerns were the fact that the City would gather personal information and thus making it subject to an open records request from the haters.

Bill King also opposed for similar reasons.

Now check this AP story about concerns in New York City:

NEW YORK (AP) — When New York City launched the nation’s biggest municipal ID card program last year, advocates said it would help people living in the U.S. illegally to venture out of the shadows.

But since Donald Trump was elected president, city officials are instead fielding questions about whether the cards could put those same people at greater risk of being deported.

The city has vowed to protect cardholders’ personal records and might even delete them using a kind of self-destruct provision that allows for the information to be destroyed at the end of the year. At least one state lawmaker has criticized that idea, saying it could make it impossible to trace people if they have obtained cards fraudulently.

Some immigrants take comfort in the city’s stance, while acknowledging they are still wary.

Alberto Saldivia got his “IDNYC” card this year after spending 15 years in the country without legal authorization.

“It did cause me considerable concern, because they have my information, also the information of my son,” the 53-year-old Mexico native said through an interpreter.

But he felt reassured when Mayor Bill de Blasio said last week that the city would “absolutely” safeguard cardholders’ identities. De Blasio, a Democrat, said officials would assess whether to delete the personal records, a provision that was built into the program partly over concerns about the possible election of a Republican president such as Trump, whose campaign promises included a vow to deport millions of people in the U.S. illegally.

Here is the entire AP story on City IDs: https://www.apnews.com/c96b33c9ff7e458c96c6f091f53b2cab/After-Trump-win,-NYC-could-destroy-immigrant-ID-card-data.

I kind of hope City ID folks around these parts are paying attention. I hate to say that my concerns were legitimate. Oh, well.

Some GOP members of congress want to investigate Hillary Clinton again. That will just backfire on them.

There sure are not that many women involved in the Trump transition.  Just saying.

‘Stros Skipper A.J. Hinch of course was selected by the A’s in the 3rd round of the 1996 draft.

From The Yard:

On December 3rd from 2:00 pm – 6:00 pm, join us in the Union Station Lobby and the Atrium at Minute Maid Park for Home Plate for the Holidays as we kick off the holiday season with some Astros cheer! The event is free and open to the public but you must have an event voucher for entry.

Parking is free in any of the Astros owned lots. Fans can access the event through Union Station Lobby entrance located on Crawford Street, or the Atrium entrance on Texas Street.

Fans will be able to get in the Holiday spirit with:

• Gingerbread house making

• Pictures with Orbit Claus (from 3:30 pm – 6:00 pm)

• Holiday Storytime with the Shooting Stars

• Ornament crafts

• Inflatables for the kids

• Carolers

• Holiday lights and festive “snow”

• Christmas beers sold at the Saint Arnold bar• And much more Holiday fun!

Drats!  I won’t be able to attend.

 

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Dems Not That Broken

Name the ‘Stro pitcher who made the most game appearances this past season?

A week ago this morning, Dems looked to be in great shape and now some folks are doing post mortems. I don’t know about that. Are Dems that broken?   Check this from Politico today:

“We’ve started to lose touch with white voters. They’re still the majority out there, and we can’t claim to be a big-tent party if we lose touch with working class voters, whether they’re black, white, blue, or red,” said DNC member Boyd Brown of South Carolina. “When you have Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Chuck Schumer making the sale for you, that dog don’t hunt. It’s time to reshuffle the deck and get some younger folks in there with some more diverse backgrounds. It’s time for a leadership shakeup.”

I have a problem with what this fella just said. We had the President and the First Lady making the pitch for Dems the past few months after all.

Another point I would like to make is that we are winning the popular vote by over a million votes so what does that say? We are just hurting in some parts of the country and we need to address this.   I mean, look how we did in Harris County. Dems kicked arse here bigly.  We also did better in Texas.

More from the Politico story:

“In this election every key element of the Democratic coalition underperformed, and we need to do better,” said former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley, who is now considering a run for DNC chair after he fell short in his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination. “The strategy of narrowly defining the base and then micro-targeting it and texting it until it doesn’t turn out isn’t a winning strategy for the future.”

I don’t think we underperformed with Latinos. We held Donald Trump to 18% and here in Harris County we were a bigger share of the total vote.  If Gov. O’Malley doesn’t know this, I don’t know if he should be our DNC Chair.

Here is the entire Politico story: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/democrats-barack-obama-comeback-231391.

The other piece to this is what the President said yesterday at his press conference. He basically said that Hillary and her campaign didn’t work hard enough and I have to agree. Here is from Politico:

“You know, I won Iowa not because the demographics dictated that I would win Iowa. It was because I spent 87 days going to every small town and fair and fish fry and VFW hall, and there were some counties where I might have lost, but maybe I lost by 20 points instead of 50 points,” Obama said. “There are some counties maybe I won that people didn’t expect because people had a chance to see you and listen to you and get a sense of who you stood for and who you were fighting for.”

We don’t need to redo the Dem Party. We just have to fix things that we got wrong this time around.

Ken Giles of course led ‘Stros pitcher with 69 appearances.

Nothing from The Yard today.

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It’s 18%

To fellow Latinos! Don’t let them say 29% of us voted for Donald Trump. It didn’t happen.   Our best Latino minds have it at 18%. Here is from a Politico story from this past weekend:

Hispanic political groups are vigorously disputing the exit poll data showing increased Latino support for Donald Trump.

It was one of the most counterintuitive findings in a shocking election: 29 percent of Latino voters cast their ballots for Trump, according to the networks’ exit poll. After starting his campaign by calling Mexicans rapists, promoting a “deportation force,” and appealing to white nationalists, had Trump actually done better among Latinos than Mitt Romney? 

Nope, contended a coalition of Latino groups this week. They’re placing their faith in a poll conducted the night before the election by Latino Decisions, a firm that specializes in studying Hispanic Americans that found 18 percent of Latinos voting for Trump.

That’s a “record low” for a GOP presidential candidate, said National Council of La Raza president Janet Murguía at a press conference with other Hispanic leaders on Thursday. “It is an insult to us as Latinos to keep hearing the media ignoring the empirical data that was presented by Latino Decisions.”

Exit polling has been a longstanding point of frustration for Latino groups. They say that exit polls were never designed to analyze demographic preferences, but the media have run with the crosstabs anyway to assess Latino voting behavior. They point to 2004, when the exit polls said 44 percent of Latinos voted for President George W. Bush. The figure was widely criticized by other polling analysts, including the Pew Research Center, and the groups behind the election poll later acknowledged that crunching their own numbers differently put the figure more at 40 percent support for Bush.

This time, activists fear that candidates will think they can get away with rhetoric that scapegoats Latinos if it looks like Trump did relatively well with the community anyway.

“I think that some folks may try to excuse… or be emboldened by that approach of division if they thought that it made no difference,” said Clarissa Martinez, who heads up advocacy at NCLR. “But it did.”

Latino Decisions’ Election Eve poll (in the field Nov. 4-7) found that 79 percent of Latinos backed Clinton, compared to 18 percent for Trump. The survey of 5,600 Latino voters had a national margin of error of 1.8 percentage points. Its findings were in line with a handful of other large national polls of Hispanics leading up to the vote.

Latino Decisions Co-Founder Matt Barreto said in an interview Friday that it’s not that the exit poll is a bad survey, it just shouldn’t be used to analyze the electorate after the voting’s over.

Since the exit polls were designed to help news broadcasts call the elections, they tend to focus on bellwether precincts, rather than a random sample.

“Most Americans, especially most minorities, do not live in these 50-50 tossup precincts, so they’re not getting the true vote reflection of minorities,” Barreto said.

Joe Lenski, an executive vice president at Edison Research – the company that conducts the exit poll for a consortium of news organizations – stood by its finding in an interview. He said the exit poll better reflects the opinions of Hispanic voters nationwide than the Latino Decisions survey.

“Look at where they do the polling,” Lenski said, charging that Latino Decisions does a higher intensity of calls in heavily Latino areas. “They are speaking to Hispanics solely in high-density Hispanic areas. We are speaking to Hispanics all over the country.”

“I think what they are missing is a disconnect between Hispanics who live in high-density Hispanic areas and might be more likely to be Spanish-speaking and might be more likely to be first- or second-generation immigrants,” Lenski added, “and those who don’t live in high-density Hispanic areas, who might be third- or fourth-generation, less likely to be Spanish-speaking and more assimilated.”

Barreto said Lenski’s description of Latino Decisions’ methodology was “100% untrue.” At the very least, Barreto said, Lenski was confusing their pre-election survey with a subsequent study of actual votes the firm does to test their conclusions.

Barreto said Latino Decisions does speak to Hispanics all over the country – respondents are randomly drawn from a representative statewide sample, then weighted to match Census demographics in a particular state – so there are more respondents from states like Florida and Texas. (He further outlined his findings and methods in a Washington Post op-ed.)

Barreto said his firm does look at the actual results in heavily Latino precincts, which he said is the “best way in the short run” to verify the results of pre-election and exit polls. They found no evidence of an uptick in support for Trump in precincts that are 90 percent Latino.

“If the exit polls were right, we should have seen that trend in Latino areas,” Barreto said. “Trump was in the single digits in all of these heavily Latino precincts.”

Even if the exit polls were accurate, said Martinez, Trump should hardly be thrilled.

“We’re still talking about seven out of 10 Latinos” opposing him, she said, “which is an overwhelming majority.”

On this, we are going to be vigilant. We can’t accept the 29% BS. Latino Decisions and their allies know their stuff – period!

‘Stros fans know that our last two preseason games are always played at The Yard. Who do we host for the last two next year?

It looks like Cong. Keith Ellison is becoming the choice of the DC Dems elite crowd. I am glad some are raising the concerns I have and that is that we should have a full-time DNC Chair and not an elected official. I like Cong. Ellison but we need a full-timer.

Don’t be surprised if the RNC and Trump folks use this against Cong. Ellison. It is from Politico in 2013:

Rep. Keith Ellison (D-Minn.) on Thursday endorsed Anthony Weiner for mayor of New York City.

“Anthony’s a good guy in my opinion. Now, he should’ve came clean once he got busted, you know, and I’m sorry he didn’t do that – but he’s sorry he didn’t do that and his [wife Huma Abedin’s] sorry he didn’t do that,” Ellison said on Current TV to host Bill Press. 

“Look man, nobody here is perfect. Anthony was a great congressman in my opinion, and he’s dealt with his issues and everybody has issues. So I’d love to see Anthony Weiner be mayor of New York. I hereby endorse him.”

Here is the entire article: http://www.politico.com/story/2013/04/anthony-weiner-endorsement-keith-ellison-089942.

Of course, Anthony Weiner will go down in history as one of the forces who cost us last Tuesday’s election if you ask me.

What is up with Texas Monthly’s Erica Grieder slamming the Governor of Texas?

Commentary first came across Leon Russell in the Concert for Bangladesh when he performed “Jumping Jack Flash.” I saw him at the Sam Houston Coliseum about a year or so later. He was a great one for sure.

The ‘Stros host the World Serious Champs Cubbies for the last two preseason games of 2017 of course.

Nothing from The Yard today.

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In Harris County

The Trib has a story on the election in Harris County and gives Latino voters some nice run. I told folks a couple or so months ago that this election was about us and so we did our part here in Harris County. Here is from the Trib:

Despite little overall change in areas of the state with large Hispanic populations, it appears Hispanic voters were, in part, behind Democrats’ victories in Harris County.

About 17 percent of in-person early voters in Harris County had a Hispanic-sounding surname — up from 11 percent in 2012, according to Hector de Leon, director of communications and voter outreach for the county clerk.

Election Day voting numbers are still being crunched, but if turnout among Hispanic voters remained unchanged from the last election — and there’s little reason to believe it worsened — it may have increased by about 34 percent on Tuesday, de Leon said.

“My sense is that they did outperform their Election Day turnout [in 2012], or they at least matched it,” de Leon said, “and if they matched it, there would be an increase.”

And:

“Demographics have an impact on elections,” de Leon said. “Harris County is an example of that.”

Republicans saw some success on Tuesday night, holding onto a second Texas House seat Democrats had targeted. And they maintained control of their seats on the county commissioner’s court. But in the days following the election, they’ve conceded they took a beating in Harris County.

In emails to supporters, prominent local conservatives called it “the worst defeat for Republicans” in the 71-year history of the county’s Republican party. Citing losses in Dallas and Houston, Abbott in a Thursday email to supporters said “the threats to the Lone Star State remain very real.” And discussing a need to focus on down-ballot races after tough losses, Republican Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, whose son lost his judgeship in Harris, said Republicans must continue reaching out to Hispanic voters.

Here is the entire Trib piece: https://www.texastribune.org/2016/11/11/harris-county-turned-blue/.

I agree with Hector. As for Lt. Gov. Patrick, he needs to take some lessons on learning the difference between reaching out and attacking. Si se puede happened here in Harris County!

How many Silver Slugger Awards did Craig Biggio win in his career?

Now this is absolutely stupid! Why do we do this? Why do we get a member of congress to run the Democratic National Committee? We just did that and it didn’t work out. He has to represent his congressional district first. We need a full-time chair who is not an elected official.

Am I the only Dem in America who thinks this is a dumb idea? I said a day or so ago that if we let the DC Dem elites pick out next chair, we are in trouble. Am I the only Dem in America who is going to say this is a bad idea? Check this from Politico:

SIREN — SCHUMER BACKS ELLISON FOR DNC CHAIR — Soon-to-be Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is backing Minnesota Rep. Keith Ellison to be the next head of the Democratic National Committee, a big boost for the Minnesota Democrat as the party searches for a new leader. Schumer spoke with Ellison Thursday afternoon and “supports him for chair,” according to a source close to Schumer, who added: “Without a Democratic White House, Schumer’s view is the DNC is where grassroots organizing in sync with leg battles should be organized.” Schumer’s nod comes as others like former DNC Chair Howard Dean have launched their own campaigns to run the embattled organization. Ellison, co-chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, hasn’t officially thrown his hat in the ring, though he has said he’ll make an announcement on Monday.

Dumb idea for sure.   Dumb, dumb, dumb! Come on, Dems!

This is another dumb idea. See this tweet:

Howard Dean ‏@GovHowardDean 35m35 minutes ago

The dems need organization and focus on the young. Need a fifty State strategy and tech rehab. I am in for chairman again.

Drain the swamp? Here is from Politico:

One Republican lobbyist told POLITICO that the president-elect has no choice but to turn to GOP veterans with government experience to launch a new administration.

“Who else are you going to go to?” the lobbyist said. “Unless you get some used car salesman from Dubuque, Iowa, you go to policy people.”

I am sure Dubuque voters who supported Trump appreciate this quote.

I am not ready to say that Trump played his supporters. We will see if he follows through on all his bombast like the wall. I read where some GOP insiders were suggesting that Trump let Speaker Ryan handle policy. I am sure that makes the faithful feel good.

Speaking of, if Trump picks Steve Bannon as his chief of staff he will be saying thank you white nationalists. Just saying.

Commentary got some run in the Chron today on the Pasadena city council lawsuit. Check this:

“With Trump, you’re certainly not going to have a Justice Department we can go to if you see some (voting) irregularities,” said longtime Houston political consultant Marc Campos. “They’re certainly not going to be a friend we can count on in future litigation.”

Here is the article: http://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/columnists/greater-houston/article/Pasadena-trial-to-begin-amid-uncertainty-about-10607299.php?cmpid=btfpm.

Criag Biggio won 5 Silver Slugger Awards of course.

Here is from the ‘Stros:

Louisville Slugger announced tonight that Houston Astros All-Star second baseman Jose Altuve has won his third consecutive Silver Slugger Award as the top offensive second baseman in the American League. Altuve is now the first player in franchise history to win three straight Silver Slugger Awards and is just the third Astro to win at least three in a career, joining Craig Biggio (1989, 1994-95, 1997-98) and Jeff Bagwell (1994, 1997, 1999).

Altuve won the AL batting title with a .338 (216×640) average in 2016, while posting 108 runs scored, 42 doubles, 24 home runs, 96 RBI, 60 walks, 30 stolen bases, a .396 on-base percentage, a .531 slugging percentage and a .928 OPS. In addition to leading all American League players in batting average, he also led the circuit in hits, while ranking tied for second in stolen bases, third in WAR (7.6), tied for third in doubles, fourth in OBP, fourth in total bases (340) and fifth in OPS. On top of his well-rounded season, Altuve took home two AL awards in 2016, the AL Player of the Month for June and the AL Player of the Week for the week of April 11-17.

Nice.

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Just Voting Earlier

Here in Harris County we did not set a record for turnout rate.   More people voted because we have more folks registered but we didn’t do better than 2008 or 2012 in terms of a turnout rate.

I guess folks just wanted to vote early and get it out of the way.

In 2008, we had a 62.81% turnout. In 2012, it was 61.99%. Tuesday’s was 61.25%.

In 2008, 343,919 voted straight ticket GOP. 391,488 voted straight ticket D. Barack Obama won Harris County over John McCain, 50.45% to 48.82%.

In 2012, 404,165 voted straight ticket GOP. 406,991 voted straight ticket D. President Obama received 49.39%, Mitt Romney received 49.31%.

Tuesday, 401,255 voted straight ticket GOP. 471,290 voted straight ticket D. Hillary Clinton received 54.16%, Donald Trump 41.78%.

Some folks were putting out misinformation yesterday. They said 29% of Latinos in the USA voted for Trump. Not true. Latino Decisions has it at 75% for Clinton and 18% for Trump.   I looked at a couple of hard core Latino precincts here in H-Town and it looks like Latino Decisions is on the mark,

There are a number of stories out today on the state of the Democratic Party. Who are our leaders? Who will be the next DNC chair. Commentary will say this. If our next leaders are decided by the DC Dem elite, we’re in trouble.   We need someone from outside of DC to step up. Stay tuned!

The Silver Slugger Award winners will be announced this evening. When was the last time a ‘Stro won a Silver Slugger?

Kuffer has a take today on the HISD Trustee race. Check it here:

– As noted yesterday, Anne Sung will face John Luman in the runoff for HISD Trustee in District VII. Sung received 46.80% of the vote to Luman’s 29.25%; Victoria Bryant was in third with 17.03%, so Sung was a smidgeon ahead of the two top Republicans. I can’t wait to see the canvass data for this one, but there are two things to keep in mind. One, the universe of voters will be much smaller in December, and two, there were 35,819 votes cast in this race with 25,230 undervotes. That is, over 40% of the people who had this race on their ballot did not vote in it, most likely because they didn’t know anything about it or because they voted straight ticket and didn’t scroll down the ballot from there. That won’t be the case in December. If a precinct analysis shows that Hillary Clinton carried that district, it will be hard to see those undervotes as anything but a missed opportunity; Sung fell short of a majority by about 1200 votes, so it wouldn’t have taken much to push her across the finish line.

I did one of these runoffs back in 2010. It is a different ballgame when you have a stand-alone runoff. It is hard to get voters to pay attention. Both candidates start off even if you ask me and you should ask me because I have done one of these.

Jose Altuve of course won the Silver Slugger Award last season – 2015.

Thanksgiving Day is two weeks from today. Just saying.

Congrats to Dallas Keuchel for winning another Gold Glove Award.

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Stunned!

How in the heck do we sweep Harris County and lose America?

Privately, I have told friends that we had a deeply flawed candidate and for that I blame my party’s leadership.

I don’t know else what to say.

F__k it!

 

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Way To Go, Ana!

Yeah, sure! This tweet from last night:

Fox News ‏@FoxNews 12m12 minutes ago

Chris Wallace on #ElectionDay: “I just want…whoever loses to concede graciously & say what unites us…is more than what divides us.”

Will it happen? Stay tuned!

Commentary has to hand it to CNN commentator Ana Navarro for announcing she was voting for Hillary Clinton or should I say voting against Donald Trump. She is a Florida voter, so she knows about the importance of a vote.

I must say that I might have called her out a couple or so years ago for sticking to the GOP talking points. This year, she didn’t fall in line for Trump and she stuck to her guns. She has been outspoken this year and at times provided takes that made me laugh. Here in her words on her vote:

I voted against Donald Trump because I am an immigrant. Trump has spent this campaign focusing on the very bad things done by a very small group of very bad immigrants. He has portrayed immigrants as criminals, rapists, and murderers. He does not talk about the contributions immigrants have made to America. He does not talk about immigrants who have made this a better and stronger country. He does not talk about the thousands and thousands of immigrant names that fill the Vietnam Wall in Washington or that are carved on so many headstones in every US military cemetery around the world.

I voted against Donald Trump because I am Hispanic. On June 16, 2015, the first day of his campaign, Trump called Mexicans “rapists.” I was not born in Mexico. I am not of Mexican descent. But I knew he was also talking about me.

I voted against Donald Trump for every American who looks and sounds like me. Because we love this country. We are proud of this country. We stand as equals in the United States of America.

Here is her entire take: http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/07/opinions/navarro-republican-voting-for-clinton/index.html.

Commentary will keep it on CNN for the most part this evening. Hey, I’ve been watching their coverage all year. I am sticking with them.

I sure hope the media at the Trump election night party this evening hired extra security.

Go vote, please!

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As of this past Friday here in Harris County, we had a 45% voter turnout. So, who is voting tomorrow?

For the next three days, Commentary is skipping the MLB questions and news from The Yard.

As far as the GOP goes, their wish came through.  They pi__ed off Latino voters and now are facing a devastating backlash.

Commentary loves this “wall” line from a story in Politico today. Check this:

LAS VEGAS—The line Friday evening stretched outside Cardenas Market in Las Vegas, teeming with Hispanic voters eager to cast ballots.

Many had to wait for hours on the last day of a fortnight of early voting in Nevada, plied by food and exhortations from activists who didn’t have to do much. Election officials had to keep the polling place open an extra three hours to accommodate the line, which was described thusly on Twitter by Yvanna Cancela, the political director for the majority Hispanic Culinary union:

“Looks like Trump got his wall after all. A wall of beautiful voters.”

Here is the entire article: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/11/election-2016-nevada-harry-reid-clinton-trump-early-vote-latinos-214426.

It is looking like Latino voters are a major force for sure. Check these tweets from the New York Times this past weekend:

Early voting surged among Hispanics in key swing states, new data show. It’s a possible sign of strength for Clinton

Hillary Clinton Appears to Gain Late Momentum on Surge of Latino Voters

By the way, the New York Times is taking down its paywall for the next three days.

Here is from Politico:

Hispanic voters could be poised to deliver a historic rebuke to Donald Trump and the Republican Party.

Early-vote statistics from battleground states with large Hispanic populations show record turnout among a bloc that has voted at a lower rate than whites or blacks in past elections. If, as some polls suggest, Hispanic voters are supporting Hillary Clinton by blowout margins, these numbers could sink Trump in a handful of states that are essential to his path to 270 electoral votes. 

In Nevada, Latino turnout propelled Democrats in Clark County — the population center that’s home to Las Vegas — to a record-breaking close on Friday, driving up the Democratic lead in early ballots cast to 72,000. That’s enough, according to veteran Nevada political analyst Jon Ralston, to essentially tie a bow on the state for Clinton.

Four years earlier, when Obama won the state by seven points, Democrats led Clark County in ballots cast by 71,000 at the end of early voting in 2012.

State GOP Chairman Michael McDonald responded to the sudden electoral tremors Saturday by suggesting there were shady dealings behind surge, referring to “a certain group.”

 “Last night, in Clark County, they kept a poll open till 10 o’clock at night so a certain group could vote,” said McDonald at a Trump rally in Reno. “It wasn’t in an area that normally has high transition. The polls are supposed to close at 7. This was kept open till 10. Yeah, you feel free right now? Think this is a free or easy election?”
Here is the entire read: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/latino-vote-surge-donald-trump-campaign-230804.

And from The Hill

Trump’s yearlong campaign of advocating draconian immigration policies created a yearlong period of intense worry and anger from Hispanic leaders, Hispanic media and Hispanic voters, from communities to churches. This yearlong Trump campaign created a viral backlash that has built increasing antagonism toward Republicans throughout the Hispanic community, and this viral backlash became a powerful motivating and organizing vehicle that is reaching a crescendo in early voting and Election Day turnout that is giving Clinton and Democrats a huge boost. The GOP problem and the Democrat’s advantage with Hispanics began before the political explosion that Trump ignited. For years Democrats had proposed immigration reforms that would have strengthened enforcement while being fair, just and decent to immigrants. When Senate Republicans reached a major bipartisan agreement with Democrats over immigration that should have become law, the GOP had a golden opportunity to reach out to Hispanic voters while improving enforcement. Republicans blew it.

When the great compromise over immigration in the Senate was sabotaged by House Republicans, followed by Trump taking immigration positions that was hostile to Hispanics, the die was cast for a great awakening and political uprising of Hispanic voters. Make no mistake, the sleeping giant has been awakened. The realigning potential of the Hispanic surge for Democrats is real. The impact on the presidential election and campaigns for the Senate and House will be substantial in 2016, and if Republicans continue on their current course they will regret it. American politics will never be the same.

Here is the entire story: http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/304543-the-hispanic-sleeping-giant-has-awakened.

How about this for real time results tomorrow. This is from Politico:

Ever since Jimmy Carter’s early concession in 1980 was blamed for losses to down-ballot Democrats in Western states, both politicians and media outlets have been religious about not reporting the results until everyone’s voted.

But that’s all about to change, starting early Tuesday morning.

This year, a handful of different projects are underway to disrupt the rhythm and flow of information on Election Day — including one controversial effort that some worry could affect the actual election results.

Slate and Vice News have partnered with Votecastr, a company helmed by Obama and Bush campaign veterans, to provide real-time projections of how the candidates are faring in each state throughout the day. They expect to begin posting projections at 8 a.m. Eastern time on Election Day — a dramatic departure from current practice, where representatives from a consortium of news organizations (The Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News) huddle in a quarantine room without cell phones, poring over the earliest exit poll data but declining to release anything that points to an election result until all the polls have closed.

Here is the entire story: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/exit-polls-under-siege-230847.

I will check it out.

I am thinking Dems are sitting pretty here in Harris County going into tomorrow. Like a countywide sweep kind of pretty.

One more day!

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Final Weekend

This is it!

We have four days to go and here in Harris County we have a 40% voter turnout through yesterday. Not bad.

Name the first city to host an entire World Series?

From a story in Politico today:

MIAMI — Hillary Clinton is besting Donald Trump by an historic 30-point margin among Florida Hispanics, according to a new bipartisan poll that indicates Latinos could play an outsized role in delivering the White House to a Democrat for the third election in a row. 

Clinton’s 60 percent to 30 percent advantage over Trump with Florida Hispanics overall is fueled by outsized support from voters of Puerto Rican descent, who favor her 71 percent to 19 percent, according to the survey of 800 likely Hispanic voters jointly conducted for Univision by Republican-leaning Tarrance Group and Democratic-leaning Bendixen & Amandi International. 

Here is the entire article: http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/11/clintons-30-point-lead-in-fla-hispanic-poll-is-terrifying-to-gop-nationwide-107067.

Muchas gracias, Donald.

The most difficult job, err dangerous job next Tuesday night – media covering the Trump election night losers party. Just saying.

This will be the final weekend of hearing from the likes of Kellyanne Conway, Rudy Giuliani, Ben Carson, Newt Gingrich, and all those other GOP rascals.  Thank goodness!

In 1906, the White Sox and Cubbies faced off in the World Serious of course.

FYI: That photo of Carol Alvarado on Tal’s Hill was not photoshopped.

That’s all I have from The Yard.

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We have five days to go and here in Harris County we have a 36% voter turnout through yesterday. Not bad.

Drop by State Rep. Carol Alvarado’s reception this evening at 8th Wonder Brewery.  It is from 5:30 to 7 pm.

Commentary, Bethany, and Nick are voting today – per our civic tradition.

World Serious MVP Ben Zobrist was drafted by the ‘Stros in the 6th Round of the 2004 MLB Draft. Our first pick that year was Hunter Pence who was picked in the 2nd Round.  How come we didn’t have a 1st Round Pick that year?

I tweeted out an article yesterday about CNN and Donna Brazile. Here is how it starts:

CNN chose an odd way to announce some news about itself on Monday: It waited until reporters called to disclose the fact that, yes, it had parted ways with one of its longtime commentators, Donna Brazile.

And it waited two weeks to do even that.

The cable network accepted Brazile’s resignation on Oct. 14 after it learned about her undisclosed role in back-channeling questions intended for a CNN-sponsored primary debate to Hillary Clinton’s campaign. According to Wikileaks, which posted hacked emails sent by Brazile to Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta, Brazile tipped the Clinton camp to at least two debate questions.

On Monday, a spokeswoman said in response to press calls that CNN was “extremely uncomfortable” with Brazile’s involvement in helping Clinton and had accepted her resignation — two weeks earlier. She didn’t explain why news about Brazile’s status at CNN was delayed for weeks.

On Tuesday, CNN President Jeff Zucker told staffers in an internal conference call that he found Brazile’s behavior “disgusting.” But that statement raised its own set of questions, such as: Why was it “disgusting” for a political operative employed by CNN to try to help a candidate she’s promoted on CNN?

Disgusting?  CNN pays candidate surrogates to defend folks that like to “grab’em by the p___y”.  Now that is disgusting.

And this from the same article:

Brazile’s dual roles point up the inherent conflict of interest in the networks’ employment of political figures as commentators, said Edward Wasserman, dean of the graduate school of journalism at the University of California at Berkeley.

“There’s a clear conflict of loyalties,” he said. “She behaved in a way that is thoroughly unprincipled for a journalist and as an employee of CNN because she’s giving away proprietary secrets. Her obligation to a Democratic campaign outweighed her obligation to CNN and to the audience of CNN.”

Huh!  She is not a journalist. Don’t give me that mumbo jumbo about ethics and paid surrogate talking heads. There is no such thing. They all spew the campaign talking points of the day. Come on!

Here is the entire article: http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/cnn-chief-says-brazile%e2%80%99s-leaks-to-clinton-camp-were-%e2%80%98disgusting%e2%80%99/ar-AAjHOmF?li=BBnb7Kz&ocid=UE01DHP.

There is an interesting piece in Politico today on the so called shadow voter. Turns out there is no shadow voter.

Here is the story: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/poll-shy-voters-trump-230667.

In 2004, we signed a couple of highly rated free agents and thus lost our 1st round pick of course.

There is nothing really to say about last night’s great game other than to say I watched it.

The ‘Stros tweeted this today:

Now just 151 days until the #AstrosHomeOpener, but who’s counting.

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