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Archive for March 6th, 2014

Following Commentary

178 years ago today The Alamo fell.

In the 1982 Texas Democratic Primary election race for Governor, Attorney General Mark White received 45% of the vote, Railroad Commissioner Buddy Temple got 30.5%, and Land Commissioner Bob Armstrong 20%. A few days after the primary election, Buddy Temple withdrew from the runoff. FYI: Commentary was working on the White campaign.

Commentary mentioned yesterday that Team Dewhurst might have to throw in the towel and call it quits – no mas. They don’t have a good road map to victory. It is nice to see that folks still drop in to check out what Commentary is saying. Here are a few articles that are out today.

From The Texas Tribune:

Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst is at the bottom of a deep political hole, and he has 12 weeks to find a way out.

And:

Several Republican political consultants said Wednesday that the odds against Dewhurst are enormous. Some disillusioned supporters in the hours after the results came in said that Dewhurst ought to concede, telling voters that a continued race would only do violence to the party since he had no real chance to win. That is not without precedent in Texas politics — Democrat Buddy Temple did it after finishing second in a gubernatorial primary in 1982. But it seems unlikely in a race where neither candidate was close to gathering 50 percent of the vote.

From the Chron:

Political experts have a bit of advice for Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst’s re-election campaign: go negative or go home.

And:

Political experts say the multimillionaire Dewhurst will need to unleash a barrage of attacks aimed at loosening Patrick’s stranglehold on the base of Texas’ most conservative voters, the same group that will decide the May runoff.

“Dewhurst has got to do that by trying to disrupt the image that Patrick’s established among them. That means going negative,” said Jim Henson, director of the Texas Policy Project at the University of Texas at Austin. “The argument has to be to try to convince Patrick’s voters they’ve been sold a bill of goods. At this stage of the game it’s a pretty tough sell.”

And:

Mark Jones, a political scientist at Rice University, said that moving forward “the only plausible route for Dewhurst is to go completely negative.” Such a strategy has its drawbacks, he added.

“Right now, if you’re a cold and calculating Republican donor and if you give money to Dewhurst and he goes negative on Patrick, you’re creating an enemy in Patrick and further antagonizing movement conservatives,” Jones said.

From the Statesman

For David Dewhurst to win, he would have to reinvent himself, he will have to spend $15-20 million to get his message out and he will have to attack Dan Patrick,” said Mark Jones, a Rice University political science professor who has been following the race.

“Dewhurst needs a game-changing event or a very creative strategy, which he has not had so far,” Jones said.

And:

“Dewhurst’s high-water mark was when he announced for the U.S. Senate two years ago, and in several respects it’s been downhill since then,” said James Riddlesperger, a Texas Christian University political science professor. “He’s definitely a long shot at this point to win the runoff.”

I can’t see how the Lite Guv pulls it out. He has been twice rejected by his own GOP. So why go through a very expensive exercise. I will be very surprised if this continues. Stay tuned.

Here is an easy one. Of the active MLB players, name the player with the most career official at-bats?

The second political story of the day is about Sen. Wendy Davis losing some South Texas counties to Madrigal. Among the counties lost were Hidalgo and Webb. I would be interested to see how she did in Latino precincts outside of Dallas-Fort Worth and South Texas – Latino precincts in Bexar, El Paso, Harris, and Travis counties.

I will say this again. Regarding the Latino vote, if all the talk centers on South Texas and the Greater Houston area Latinos are neglected, Dems will pay the price on Election Day.

In the Harris County Dem Primary the lowest percentage of under-votes in a race involving candidates for office was the House District 145 race with Rep. Carol Alvarado – 4.37%. In the Precinct 72 race for Precinct Judge the under-vote was 2.63% – Freddy Blanco won. The Medicaid Expansion resolution item had a 4.03% under-vote.

Derek Jeter of course leads all MLB players with 10,614 career official at-bats.

I am starting to look forward to the two exhibition games we will play at the end of the month at The Yard against Veracruz.

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